MLB Prediction Review

Prior to the season starting the writers for Burning River Baseball made some predictions about all of Major League Baseball as well as for the Indians more specifically. We didn't fare all that well on the team predictions, so let's see how the big league predictions went.

Joe American League National League
Correct Central East West Central East West
  Indians Red Sox Angels Reds Phillies Diamondbacks
  Tigers* Yankees Rangers* Cardinals Marlins* Rockies
  Royals Rays Athletics Brewers Braves* Giants
  Twins Orioles Mariners Pirates Nationals Dodgers
  White Sox Blue Jays   Cubs Mets Padres
        Astros    
Jen American League National League
  Central East West Central East West
  Indians Red Sox Rangers Cardinals Phillies Diamondbacks
  Tigers Rays* Angels* Reds* Braves Rockies*
  White Sox Yankees Mariners Brewers Marlins Dodgers
  Royals Blue Jays Atlethics Cubs Mets Giants
  Twins Orioles   Astros Nationals Padres
        Pirates    
Actual American League National League
  Central East West Central East West
  Tigers Yankees Athletics Reds Nationals Giants
  White Sox Orioles* Rangers* Cardinals* Braves* Dodgers
  Royals Rays Angels Brewers Phillies Diamondbacks
  Indians Blue Jays Mariners Pirates Mets Padres
  Twins Red Sox   Cubs Marlins Rockies
        Astros    

All the focus here should be placed on the fact that I perfectly picked the NL Central which should have been one of the harder divisions to pick as he has more teams than any other division and they are more evenly matched. I also correctly picked the Braves as a Wild Card team. We both completely blew the AL East as did almost every person who predicted the outcome preseason. The same is true of the AL West. In the NL West, the Diamondbacks and Rockies were huge disappointments the the Dodgers being unexpectedly good. None of any of the four World Series picks even made the play-offs, so this was pretty far off. Overall, I got four of the eight playoff teams correct while Jen got three.

Along with the team standings, we also picked the winners of the two major postseason awards. 

 

  AL MVP NL MVP AL Cy Young NL Cy Young
Actual Miguel Cabrera Buster Posey David Price R.A. Dickey
Joe Albert Pujols Troy Tulowitzki Jered Weaver Cliff Lee
Jen Jose Bautista Justin Upton Justin Verlander Zach Greinke

At first glance it looks like we did terrible, as there are no correct answers, but it isn't all that bad. In the AL Cy Young, we picked the #2 (Verlander) and #3 (Weaver) placed pitchers, but of whom had great seasons. In fact Verlander finished just 4 points beind Price overall. In the NL, Dickey was a surprise runaway as no one picked him prior to the season to do much after years of mediocrity before joining the Mets. Lee and Greinke were both obvious preseason choices, but Lee struggled behind a poor offense and Greinke was traded to the AL mid-season. Neither received any votes.

The NL MVP was another surprise with Posey blowing everyone out. Tulowitzki wasn't a bad preseason choice, but an injury kept him out for most of the year. Upton also had some problems on a poor Diamondbacks team and didn't receive any MVP votes. Cabrera was probably the least surprising of all the major award winners in 2012, but for some reason we each went different directions. The ultimate first half player, Bautista had another great first half and then missed most of the second half of the season with injury. Pujols had a terrible start, but ended up making up some ground, finishing 17th in the voting. Who would have thought preseason that Fernando Rodney and Jim Johnson would have been better AL MVP picks.

Overall, there weren't very many upsets among the award winners. Mike Trout (AL) and Bryce Harper (NL) were picked to win the Rookie of the Year awards when they made their debuts and they did. Bob Melvin (AL) and Davey Johnson (NL) each excelled where they weren't expected to, so they deserved their manager of the year award. The AL Cy Young was one of the closest races and any one of the three pitchers could have won the award without much controversy. If there was one snub, it was the NL MVP, where Andrew McCutchen and Ryan Braun each had arguably better seasons than the Giants catcher. Most likely they were both hurt by their team's failure to make the postseason.

For the Indians-centric view, no Cleveland Indians players received a single vote for any award in 2012. If any Indian got snubbed here, it was Zach McAllister who probably deserved about a fourth place finish in the AL Rookie of the Year race.

 

About Joseph Coblitz

Joseph is the primary writer and editor of BurningRiverBaseball.com and has been since it's inception in 2011. He is a graduate of the University of Akron and currently resides in Goodyear, Arizona.

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